Private DCN Private DCN - Sterling

GBP: GDP growth rate comes in at 0.4% as expected

By Ricky Bean October 1st, 2018

The headline release from the UK on Friday was the final reading of the GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2018 which, quarter-on-quarter, came in as expected at 0.4%. This is up from 0.1% the previous period and is reasonably encouraging. On a year-on-year basis, the figure climbed to 1.2% from a six-year low of 1.1% in the previous period, but it was below expectations of 1.3%.

September’s Gfk consumer confidence index slipped to -9 from -7 the previous month and worse than the -8 economists had expected. The pound made some gains against the euro, as the single currency struggled against the backdrop of Italy’s deficit plans. It was a different story against the dollar which continued its recent period of rude health. The pound is now nearer $1.30 than $1.31 and it will be interesting to see in which direction the next big move will go.

Monday starts off with a bit of a bang in the UK, with Nationwide housing prices for September on the schedule this morning. On an annual basis, prices are expected to dip to 1.9% from 2%. We will also see mortgage approvals for August and the manufacturing PMI reading for September. The figure is expected to dip a little to 52.5 from 52.8 the month before.

 

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